A giant, unpopular, unworkable business tax cut.

Paul Ryan, speaking to CNN about the tax overhaul bill the House will begin considering on Monday, says “the whole purpose of this is a middle-class tax cut.” That’s in line with the rhetoric Donald Trump deployed on the campaign trail, in line with public opinion polling about what voters want, and reflects a kind of common sense conservatism on economic policy that says what typical Americans could most use from the government is to keep more of their hard-earned cash rather than some big new government programs.

Ryan and his team have even cooked up a model family — a mom, dad, and two kids getting by on the national median household income — who stand to reap a windfall of $1,182 per year from the plan.

I don’t envy the partisans tasked with messaging against giving middle income families (family of four making $59K) $1,182 back. #1182more

— AshLee Strong (@AshLeeStrong) November 2, 2017

Unfortunately for the American middle class, Ryan is lying. The hypothetical family his top spokesperson AshLee Strong described would get a tax cut of almost $1,200 — for one year. It gets smaller in year two, smaller still in year three, smaller still in year four, and smaller still in year five. It nearly vanishes in the sixth year of the Ryan tax plan, and in years seven, eight, nine, and 10 the family would be paying higher taxes than under current law. That tax hike is not only permanent, it actually grows over time because of a change to the inflation indexing of tax brackets.

On average, over the entire 10-year scoring window, the family would get a total tax cut of $3,550. Yet over the same time period, the national debt would grow by Read More Here